Académica vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
BOA
4 - 1
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ACA
3 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
GFC
3 - 5
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
VST
0 - 1
GFC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2003 |
GFC
2 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 1
GFC
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
GFC
3 - 1
UDL
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |