Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UDL
0 - 2
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCP
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
VST
0 - 2
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |