Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ACA
4 - 0
ACV
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
BMA
1 - 0
ACA
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 2
FAM
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
69%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 2
SPB
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
FCP
5 - 1
VST
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |