Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
CDM
1 - 0
ACA
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
ACA
1 - 2
FAB
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
FAR
4 - 1
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
ACA
3 - 0
ORI
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BEL
6 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
77%
15%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 0
BMA
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CDM
1 - 2
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |