Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
FCB
4 - 1
ACA
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
UFT
1 - 0
ACA
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 3
VST
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ACA
3 - 0
SCP
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |