Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
28%
24%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ACA
3 - 0
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
FAB
0 - 3
ACA
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ACA
4 - 1
TIR
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 0
SAN
86%
10%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
FCP
9 - 0
TIR
86%
10%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
LEX
2 - 1
FCP
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |