Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 3
LGC
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
ACA
4 - 3
SCP
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
FCP
2 - 0
LEX
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
FCP
5 - 1
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ATL
2 - 3
FCP
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
FCP
5 - 0
LGC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |