Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1959 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
ACA
3 - 1
SCP
40%
23%
37%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ACA
11 - 0
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VIT
4 - 5
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
ACA
2 - 0
FAB
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
2 - 1
FCP
29%
22%
49%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1959 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
54%
21%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1959 |
FCP
7 - 1
LGC
91%
7%
3%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1959 |
LGC
0 - 3
FCP
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1959 |
FCP
7 - 0
FER
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |