Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SCP
0 - 1
ACA
90%
6%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ACA
4 - 1
SPB
50%
22%
28%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
6 - 2
ACA
74%
15%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
50%
23%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FCP
2 - 0
FCB
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
FCP
9 - 0
LGC
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |