Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
41.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
SCP
9 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
ACA
2 - 0
BEL
33%
23%
44%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACA
42%
21%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
ATL
4 - 0
ACA
71%
15%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ACA
4 - 2
FAM
68%
16%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
FCP
3 - 2
VIT
84%
9%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
SCP
3 - 2
FCP
78%
12%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
FCP
2 - 1
EST
77%
12%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCP
73%
14%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
FCP
3 - 2
SLB
40%
20%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |