Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
16.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
4%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
42%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
5%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 1
ACA
42%
21%
37%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
67%
16%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
69%
16%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
ACA
3 - 0
VIT
78%
12%
11%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
29%
22%
49%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 2
FCP
79%
11%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
FCP
2 - 2
EST
77%
12%
11%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
VIT
3 - 0
FCP
17%
17%
66%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
FCP
9 - 0
SAL
94%
4%
2%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
SCP
5 - 4
FCP
78%
12%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |