Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
15.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
4.1%
4-4
1.4%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
44.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.5%
4-5
0.7%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
1.2%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 6
OLH
77%
13%
11%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
VIT
1 - 2
ACA
65%
16%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 3
UNI
69%
15%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 7
SCP
31%
20%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
80%
12%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
FAB
1 - 1
FCP
25%
20%
56%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
UNI
0 - 0
FCP
29%
18%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 4
SLB
54%
20%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
OLH
3 - 0
FCP
18%
16%
66%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
93%
5%
2%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |