Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
39.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
OLH
3 - 2
ACA
41%
21%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
APO
3 - 2
ACA
29%
20%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ACA
4 - 1
UNI
76%
13%
11%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
76%
14%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
ACA
9 - 1
CAR
84%
10%
7%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
FCP
1 - 1
UNI
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCP
56%
19%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
FCP
12 - 1
CAR
95%
4%
2%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
LEC
2 - 5
FCP
6%
11%
84%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
FCP
6 - 2
FCB
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |