Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
52.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
UNI
2 - 3
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
27%
20%
53%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ACA
3 - 2
BEL
36%
22%
42%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
BOA
2 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
58%
18%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
FCP
3 - 1
UNI
90%
6%
4%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
BOA
3 - 6
FCP
16%
17%
68%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
FCB
0 - 2
FCP
12%
16%
73%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |