Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BEL
8 - 1
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 4
APO
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
91%
6%
3%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
FCP
6 - 1
FCB
87%
8%
5%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCP
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
59%
18%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |