Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
61.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
BEL
5 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 3
ACA
68%
17%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
ACA
0 - 4
SCP
19%
18%
64%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
APO
1 - 5
ACA
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
89%
7%
4%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
FCP
5 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
APO
1 - 4
FCP
22%
19%
59%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 4
FCP
32%
22%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |