Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 3
ACA
79%
13%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
ACA
4 - 2
LEX
51%
22%
27%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
SCP
7 - 2
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BEL
8 - 0
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
1 - 2
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
7 - 0
VST
77%
13%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
CAR
0 - 0
FCP
28%
21%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
CAR
0 - 1
FCP
28%
21%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
4 - 0
BOA
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |