Académica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 0
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 2
ACA
74%
16%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 1
ATL
66%
19%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
FCB
3 - 4
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
2 - 1
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FCB
1 - 4
FCP
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPB
5 - 3
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
FCB
3 - 1
SCP
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +2 |