Académica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 1
ACA
61%
21%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ACA
5 - 0
TOR
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
CAL
2 - 1
ACA
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
FCB
3 - 2
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCB
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
FCB
2 - 0
FAB
66%
19%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCB
79%
13%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 1
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |