Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 7-8
Académica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
FCB
5 - 2
ACA
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 3
MAR
56%
19%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
MAR
2 - 2
ACA
53%
20%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
LGC
57%
20%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
FCB
5 - 2
ACA
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
FCB
6 - 0
VIA
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
VIA
3 - 3
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
SPC
3 - 0
FCB
63%
20%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 1
SCP
19%
22%
60%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |