Académica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
74%
14%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ACA
8 - 1
SAL
84%
10%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
BOA
3 - 0
ACA
54%
20%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
VIT
3 - 1
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 5
FCB
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
FCB
1 - 1
SPB
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ORI
6 - 0
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 1
FCB
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |