Académica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
17.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCP
6 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAR
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 4
ACA
46%
22%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 4
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
92%
5%
3%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 2
BEL
29%
21%
50%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
4 - 1
LEX
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
7 - 3
FCB
93%
5%
2%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |