Académica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAL
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
BMA
0 - 2
ACA
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
ACA
1 - 1
RIO
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 2
SCP
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
FAR
2 - 1
CHA
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
VST
1 - 1
FAR
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1998 |
FAR
1 - 0
SLB
15%
23%
61%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAR
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
FAR
0 - 2
SPB
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |