Académica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1998 |
SPB
3 - 2
ACA
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1998 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
RIO
3 - 0
ACA
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1998 |
FAR
2 - 0
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
CAM
5 - 2
FAR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
FAR
1 - 1
LEC
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
EST
2 - 1
FAR
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
FAR
1 - 2
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |