Académica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 3
ACA
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
ACA
2 - 1
BOA
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
VST
3 - 0
ACA
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 2
SCP
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAR
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
FAR
2 - 2
VIT
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
FAR
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
FAR
3 - 2
CDM
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |