Académica vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.9%
16%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
SCP
6 - 3
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1946 |
ACA
5 - 5
SCP
21%
20%
59%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
VST
2 - 3
ACA
70%
16%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
SLE
4 - 3
ACA
73%
14%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
66%
17%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
FAM
5 - 9
SCP
12%
16%
72%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
SCP
11 - 0
FAM
87%
9%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1946 |
FAM
4 - 3
OEL
55%
21%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
FAM
3 - 2
OLH
40%
22%
38%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
FAM
1 - 1
VST
51%
21%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |