Académica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ACA
4 - 0
FAR
65%
21%
13%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
90%
8%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
2 - 1
UFT
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
FAB
0 - 0
UFT
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
FCP
1 - 0
FAB
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
FAB
1 - 1
VST
33%
30%
36%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 0
FAB
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FAB
0 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |