Académica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
ACA
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 2
BOA
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
LEX
2 - 1
ACA
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 0
FAR
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
UFT
1 - 4
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
FAB
7 - 2
OLH
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 1
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FAB
2 - 2
SCP
17%
26%
56%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ORI
1 - 1
FAB
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAB
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |