Académica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
VIT
3 - 2
ACA
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ACA
4 - 1
VST
58%
21%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
SPB
2 - 3
ACA
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
24%
22%
55%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
FAB
1 - 0
BEL
61%
20%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
FAB
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPB
74%
16%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
SLB
6 - 1
FAB
87%
8%
4%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FAB
3 - 1
LEX
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |