Académica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
LGC
2 - 1
ACA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCP
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
70%
17%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
FAB
0 - 3
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
OLH
0 - 0
FAB
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
FAB
2 - 2
VST
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
VAR
1 - 1
FAB
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
FAB
2 - 0
LEX
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |