Académica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
SCP
1 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ACA
0 - 1
LGC
59%
20%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SPB
1 - 3
ACA
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 2
ACA
81%
12%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 2
FAB
57%
21%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
FCB
1 - 3
FAB
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
FAB
5 - 3
ORI
64%
19%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAB
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |