Académica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 3
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +2 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 0
TOR
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 1
FAB
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
FAB
3 - 1
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
FAB
2 - 2
LGC
57%
20%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 0
FAB
49%
22%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |