Académica vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 3
UDL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
SCP
0 - 1
ACA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
EST
0 - 0
PAÇ
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
EST
0 - 2
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
80%
15%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
MAR
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |