Académica vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
SCP
5 - 0
ACA
83%
13%
4%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
CAM
2 - 1
ACA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
ACA
1 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1999 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
VST
2 - 0
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
EST
1 - 1
FCP
20%
24%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SPB
1 - 1
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |