Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ACA
3 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
FEI
1 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
ACA
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 0
MAF
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
ARO
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
EST
2 - 0
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
EST
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 0
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |