Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 2
RIO
25%
28%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 0
ACA
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 3
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 1
EST
22%
28%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
TON
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |