Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 3
ACA
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
BMA
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 1
EST
39%
27%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
SCF
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |