Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 4
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
EST
2 - 0
ACA
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ACA
4 - 2
VST
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
EST
2 - 0
ACA
49%
29%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |