Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VST
1 - 2
ACA
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
ACA
4 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
ACA
3 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
EST
0 - 3
SLB
20%
27%
54%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
POR
1 - 1
EST
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
EST
2 - 0
ESP
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
BOA
5 - 1
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
EST
0 - 1
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |