Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ACA
2 - 1
SCP
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACA
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
CDM
0 - 0
ACA
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
EST
3 - 1
SPB
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
SCP
5 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
ATL
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
FCP
0 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |