Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 1
BMA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
LEX
0 - 1
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 1
BOA
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
SCP
3 - 3
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1976 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
28%
22%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 2
EST
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
UFT
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
UFT
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 2
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |