Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ATL
6 - 1
ACA
68%
16%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
ACA
2 - 0
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
SCP
7 - 0
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ACA
5 - 0
ORI
76%
13%
11%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
72%
15%
14%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
BEL
4 - 3
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
EST
3 - 1
ORI
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
VST
3 - 2
EST
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
EST
5 - 0
SPC
76%
13%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
EST
10 - 0
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |