Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
2 - 4
ACA
52%
20%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
OEL
3 - 3
ACA
70%
15%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
OLH
3 - 3
ACA
74%
14%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
ACA
3 - 4
SLB
18%
18%
65%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
29%
21%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
EST
65%
17%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
EST
2 - 1
ATL
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
SPB
2 - 3
EST
39%
21%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
EST
6 - 1
SPC
73%
14%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |