Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
57.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
88%
7%
5%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
ACA
1 - 2
ATL
48%
21%
31%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
LUS
5 - 1
ACA
54%
19%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
VST
4 - 1
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1948 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
31%
19%
49%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
BEL
2 - 3
EST
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
EST
6 - 1
SPB
79%
11%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 4
EST
41%
21%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
EST
4 - 0
BOA
85%
9%
6%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |