Académica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
4 - 1
ACA
57%
19%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
OLH
8 - 4
ACA
72%
14%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
20%
44%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
EST
3 - 1
VST
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
33%
21%
45%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
91%
6%
3%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 4
EST
44%
22%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |