Académica vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
17%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
2 - 1
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 1
PEN
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
SAL
0 - 0
ACA
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
OEL
1 - 1
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
ESP
1 - 0
FAR
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ESP
2 - 2
SPB
40%
30%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
1 - 0
ESP
63%
24%
14%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ESP
0 - 0
PEN
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
SAL
1 - 1
ESP
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |