Académica vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
ACA
40%
32%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ACA
3 - 0
SAL
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
4 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 1
SPB
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVE
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
POR
4 - 0
AVE
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 2
PEN
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 2
AVE
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |