Académica vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ACA
4 - 0
ACV
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
COV
3 - 6
SLB
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
FCB
0 - 2
COV
81%
11%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
1 - 0
COV
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
COV
1 - 2
FCP
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 0
COV
85%
10%
6%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |