Académica vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 4
ACA
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNI
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MAI
2 - 3
ACA
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVE
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
EST
2 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
3 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CHA
2 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
RIO
0 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |