Académica vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1999 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1998 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
11%
19%
71%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
SPB
2 - 2
ACA
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
UDL
1 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
CHA
3 - 2
CAM
47%
24%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
VST
1 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
CHA
0 - 4
SLB
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
FCP
1 - 0
CHA
86%
11%
4%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 2
SPB
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |